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Election of mayor of Sochi: Facts and Figures

April 27 2009

April 26 elections were held in Sochi, the head of City Hall. According gorizbirkoma, voter turnout was 43,5%, of which 76.86% Sochi residents voted for the candidate of "United Russia" Anatoly Pakhomov, an opposition politician Boris Nemtsov was 13,6% of votes, the third largest number of votes became the representative of the Communist Party Yuri Dzagania - 6,75%. Other candidates received from 1.27% to 0.5% of the vote.

And while losing candidates say on the alleged fraud that contributed to the voting process, the data of opinion polls conducted throughout the campaign, only confirms the final results.

Their reports published by the Public Opinion and VTsIOM.


Predictions of sociologists regarding voter turnout is almost identical to actual results. FOM predicted the arrival of the polls 43% of Sochi residents, VTsIOM - 44,5%.

In this case, maybe the turnout would be and more. The report notes that the reduction VTsIOM electoral activity was due to declining interest in the elections in a group of young people aged 18-24 years. The number of young people who are just going to go to the polls has fallen from 51% to 40% and the number absenteistov among them has nearly doubled from 14% to 26%.

Perhaps it is to some extent, predetermined victory Pakhomov, who enjoyed the greatest support for the older age groups - the number of his supporters in this group was 60%.

Public awareness of elections and candidates

The level of awareness of place in city elections, the report said FOM, was above average. By the end of March election "knew" 77% "heard something about" 14% "first learned about it from the interviewer," 7%. In the last week before a vote is relation to aforesaid items were as follows: 93%, 6% and 0%.

Judging by the opinion poll, Sochi inhabitants were well aware of and involved in the choice of candidates. Leaders in popularity among the contenders were Pakhomov (84%) and Boris Nemtsov (83%). The third candidate, who spent productive work to raise awareness, became Lebedev (60%). Communist Yuri Dzagania knew 9% and something that they heard 26% (data for one week before the election).

As measured by placing campaign materials, almost all of the candidate did focus on the last two weeks before voting day. For example, promotional materials Pakhomov in early April, saw 17% by mid-month figure increased to 46%, and the week before the vote United Russia campaign saw 53% of respondents.

Boris Nemtsov began his campaign less frisky - only 5% of Sochi residents saw him leaflets or other campaign at the beginning of April. But by the middle of the month, he began to rectify the situation by the end of the campaign by the level of campaigning activity almost as large as A. Pakhomov (51% of the townspeople saw the propaganda products opposition candidate).

Sympathy and antisimpatii

According to the text published by the Public Opinion Foundation poll, of those who come to the polls for Pakhomov were willing to vote 69% of voters favored Nemtsov 20% Dzagania - 5%.

A similar opinion poll gave the following picture: Pakhomov - 45%, Boris Nemtsov - 7%, Yu Dzagania - 2% of the electorate.

ri it acted as a bonus group "undecided." According to reports from social scientists, as a candidate whom they could support, 19% said Pakhomov and 3% - Boris Nemtsov. And vice versa, were not allowed to vote for Nemtsov - 19%, for Pakhomov - 3%. In addition, more than half of undecided (56%) confident of victory Pakhomov.

In general, the report said FOM, the ratio of Sochi residents to Acting mayor of the town was mixed. About 50% of citizens believed that Anatoliy Pakhomov successfully perform its duties, 12% negatively perceived his activities in office.

However, more than half of Sochi residents were convinced that the city would be better if the mayor will Pakhomov (46% in late March, and 53% as of April 21). In favor of a new candidate (without specific names) over the last month expressed an average of 14-15%.

With specific reference to Boris Nemtsov, then during the election about 11% of those who are definitely going to vote, said that their relationship had deteriorated to a given candidate (in Anatoly Pakhomov figures were two times lower).

But the negative attitude towards Nemtsov determined not so much of his work (about which respondents know little), and the fact that he opposed set against the current government.

Olympic protest

Based on the results of opinion poll, Boris Nemtsov made a big mistake by building a campaign on the rejection of the Olympic Games in Sochi. Almost half of respondents (44%) fully supports the position of the organizers of the Olympics and believes that the whole game to be held in Sochi. Another 20% also supported the idea of holding the Olympics here, but on condition that their organizers should review their plans and actions.

Moreover, among the supporters of the Olympic Games in Sochi, only 51% were listed among the potential electorate Boris Nemtsov.

Moreover, 80% of the notorious Imeretinki would agree to a proposal to work on construction of Olympic facilities, and 100% of respondents wanted "to result in preparation for the Games in Sochi, new jobs, and the town became a place of year-round holiday destination for Russian and foreign citizens .


The results of these and many others conducted independently of sociological research in general confirm the pattern of the final election results. At first glance, the low result of the candidate from the Communists be construed consistent with the election campaign of candidates, which, apparently, little was carried out. As a result, the votes were distributed between the communist electorate A. Pakhomov and Boris Nemtsov.

In the "minus" Boris Nemtsov went as his criticisms of the Olympic Games in Sochi, as well as its status as the "Moscow Varangian". Apparently, Sochi inhabitants did not believe in that the Germans seriously intend to deal with urban economic problems. In addition, most residents were not opposed to the Olympics, and was basically satisfied is not always clear-cut policy of the authorities on issues of resettlement of land devoted to construction of Olympic facilities. But, over time their numbers declined steadily.

Arseniy Stepanov

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