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Sociologists: Nemtsov did not shine in Sochi

April 17 2009

Co-chairman of Solidarity, Boris Nemtsov, can count for 4-5 percent of the vote in the mayoral election of Sochi. Such conclusions can be drawn from the results of the survey, conducted by "Bashkirov and partners."

According to the results of research in the elections of the city administration are willing to participate 68,8% of the respondents. Respondents showed the greatest awareness about the candidate acting Mayor Anatoly Pakhomov and self-promoter Boris Nemtsov - 79,7% and 74,3% respectively. These same two candidates, it seems, are most active. Campaign materials Pakhomov saw 19.7%, and Boris Nemtsov - 14,8% of respondents. They also regularly meet with voters. In meetings with A. Pakhomov attended 9.2% of the respondents or their relatives and friends, met with Boris Nemtsov, 3,3% in the survey.

The other candidates are unobtrusive campaign. Thus, the promotional materials of the Moscow banker Alexander Lebedev, has seen 9.3%, the former leader of the DWP Andrei Bogdanov - 4,0%, Yuri Dzagania - 2,8%, Alexei Kolesnikov - 2,3%.

Nevertheless, despite the apparent equality of representation in the information field, the sympathies of voters are not on the side of Boris Nemtsov.

Thus, 58,2% of respondents believe that an election victory win Anatoly Pakhomov. In favor of Boris Nemtsov inclined only 4.7% of the respondents. While 18% say they think Boris Nemtsov is definitely worthy of the post of mayor. Next on the list is already antisipatizantov who shot his candidacy with the election of Andrei Bogdanov - 3,8%. Antireyting Anatoly Pakhomov stood at around 2.2%.

42,3% Sochi residents also believe that it is Pakhomov can best address the most urgent problems of the city. Preference Boris Nemtsov in this issue give 6,2% of the respondents.

Such a strong discontinuity between the AV Pakhomov, and B. Nemtsov seems explained by the goals and objectives of the electoral campaigns of candidates. If Pakhomov aimed at solving urban problems - both economic and social, that Nemtsov in the first place the questions of, or more precisely, the prospects for decentralization of the future Olympic Games.

The question "What are the problems you as a resident of the city of Sochi worry most?" received the following responses: poor transportation services - 28,0%, the corruption of city officials - 22,5%, a sharp discrepancy between the level of prices and incomes - 20.5%, low quality of municipal services - 18,2%
Sochi residents of the availability of beaches - 10,5%, seasonal unemployment - 9,5%, etc. Problems associated with the Olympic Games, worried residents in the least: the Olympic building / training for the Olympics in 2014 - 3,3%, resettlement due to preparations for the Olympics - 2,8%.

One of the companions of Boris Nemtsov on "Solidarity" Vladimir Milov, called the poll a "complete lazhey. However, the suspected bias in sociological rather difficult. Moreover, as previously mentioned in some media, this survey was commissioned by the International Republican Institute (IRI) , one of the "independent" of American NGOs that promote "democratic values" in different countries and state-funded dollars.

Not be ruled out that overseas researchers are interested in real data to support opposition candidates in Russia, rather than those voiced by the "dissenters."

Mikhail Gritsman

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